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A5

SAF Supply Chain & Markets

Commercial strategy and investment analysis — market dynamics, project finance, supply chain optimization, and strategic positioning for the SAF opportunity in Asia-Pacific.

What you will cover

  • Global SAF supply-demand analysis: installed capacity, announced projects, mandated demand curves, and gap analysis to 2030/2050

  • Price formation mechanics: feedstock cost pass-through, processing margins, policy-driven premiums, and convergence projections

  • Offtake agreement deep dive: structure, risk allocation, pricing mechanisms, volume flexibility, and what makes agreements bankable

  • Market intermediaries: aggregators, traders, and brokers — business models, value-add, and market-making roles

  • SAF project financial modeling: CAPEX/OPEX benchmarks, IRR analysis, NPV calculation, and feedstock cost sensitivity testing

  • Investment landscape: project finance structures, corporate balance sheet investment, venture capital, green bonds, and blended finance

  • Risk analysis framework: technology risk, feedstock supply risk, offtake risk, policy/regulatory risk, and construction risk

  • Government incentive mapping: tax credits, grants, concessional finance, and de-risking mechanisms across Asia-Pacific jurisdictions

  • Carbon credit monetization: stacking CORSIA credits, voluntary carbon offsets, and national incentives for SAF projects

  • Feedstock sourcing and aggregation: building reliable supply chains, managing supplier relationships, and hedging feedstock risk

  • Logistics optimization: feedstock-to-refinery transport, SAF-to-airport delivery, blending facility design, and quality chain management

  • Airport fuel infrastructure: hydrant systems, truck delivery operations, blending protocols, and ASTM compliance at point of use

  • Digital supply chain tools: tracking platforms, optimization algorithms, transparency solutions, and sustainability data management

  • SAF market projections to 2030 and 2050: scenario analysis including technology disruption, policy acceleration, and demand shifts

  • Strategic positioning for different stakeholders: airlines, airports, fuel companies, governments, and financial institutions

Learning Outcomes

  • Conduct SAF project financial analysis including IRR, NPV, and sensitivity testing under multiple scenarios

  • Structure bankable offtake agreements with appropriate risk allocation and pricing mechanisms

  • Design an optimized SAF supply chain from feedstock sourcing through airport delivery

  • Develop a strategic market positioning plan for your organization's role in the SAF value chain

Hands-On Activities

  • Conduct SAF project financial analysis including IRR, NPV, and sensitivity testing under multiple scenarios

  • Structure bankable offtake agreements with appropriate risk allocation and pricing mechanisms

  • Design an optimized SAF supply chain from feedstock sourcing through airport delivery

  • Develop a strategic market positioning plan for your organization's role in the SAF value chain

Asia SAF Association Limited

23 Church Street, Capital Square

#07-01, 049481, Singapore 

2024 - 2026 - All Rights Reserved 

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